Monday, August 20, 2012

Tipping Point

The emperor has no clothes.  Too many people have been afraid to say it.  No one likes to be labeled a racist and a hater, but that was often the result of criticizing the Obama administration.


Here is the cover story:
“The president has broken his promises, and Romney-Ryan’s path to prosperity is our only hope.”

UPDATE: I want to emphasize that it is important to read Ferguson's whole article.  It's long, but it is a complete (and devastating) summary of the Obama presidency.

On tipping points and preference cascades:
The result was a situation in which a lot of people's behavior didn't really match their beliefs, but merely their beliefs about what was considered acceptable. Such situations are unstable, since a variety of shocks can cause people to realize the difference and to suddenly feel comfortable about closing the gap.
---
This illustrates, in a mild way, the reason why totalitarian regimes collapse so suddenly. (Click here for a more complex analysis of this and related issues). Such regimes have little legitimacy, but they spend a lot of effort making sure that citizens don't realize the extent to which their fellow-citizens dislike the regime. If the secret police and the censors are doing their job, 99% of the populace can hate the regime and be ready to revolt against it - but no revolt will occur because no one realizes that everyone else feels the same way.

This works until something breaks the spell, and the discontented realize that their feelings are widely shared, at which point the collapse of the regime may seem very sudden to outside observers - or even to the citizens themselves. Claims after the fact that many people who seemed like loyal apparatchiks really loathed the regime are often self-serving, of course. But they're also often true: Even if one loathes the regime, few people have the force of will to stage one-man revolutions, and when preferences are sufficiently falsified, each dissident may feel that he or she is the only one, or at least part of a minority too small to make any difference.

4 comments:

  1. What people forget or never knew or just flat would not admit is that the Bam's promises all hinged on spending "our" money, Problem being we have run out I mean clear out.

    The fable (so true) that if you give a man a fish you feed him for a day, but if you teach him how to fish you feed him for a lifetime. The whole leftist agenda has been to take peoples fishing poles away from them or to give them fish enough so that they throw their fishing pole away.

    If William figures out how to catch enough fish to feed thousands of people and in so doing he employes hundreds and hundreds of people he has circumvented having to teach everyone to fish for themselves, in order to eat. They then are able to produce some other service or product for people to have a better existence. Then the govt. comes along and sees that William has made for himself a very above average living (existence) and they decide it is unfair and tax him down a level or two. He (William) decides it is not worth it and closes his fishing business---Hundreds of people are now out of work and Thousands of people go hungry.

    I was talking to a liberal the other day about the national debt I explained how our great grandchildren are going to be paying our debt...His (gender changed to protect the innocent) response was that he was paying the debt of his forefathers and his children would pay his and so on....The thing I should have asked him was this: What caused the fall of the Soviet Empire? Answer: They ran out of money.

    People, Corporations, and Governments do not create money by spending it. Private debt, Corporate debt and personal debt will eventually pull all of us into the pit of poverty.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. dean0, this is great stuff!
      People who believe in an abundance of fish; who feel responsible to go get those fish; who believe themselves to be sufficiently adequate to the job, cannot be stopped. That's what we need our fellow citizens to know and value. Go mine it, grow, it, lasso it; go imagine it, design it, build it.
      Scarcity philosophy is very destructive.
      I think of a verse that talks about people leaving a never-ending supply (spring water) and instead they build cisterns as their water supply. But the kicker is that the cisterns are broken and can't hold water.
      I find that a wonderful description of governments. Proclaimed new and better and completely wasteful. Masters of scarcity.

      Delete
  2. "99% of the populace can hate the regime and be ready to revolt against it - but no revolt will occur because no one realizes that everyone else feels the same way."

    Polling data which [seems] to support B.O. has caused me to wonder about this very thing.

    dean0,

    GOOD JOB!


    ReplyDelete
  3. I hear and read the polls but I do not believe them. Chic-fil-A day was a poll I could see. The fact that the OBam regime is putting out the story that they are limiting how many people can attend their events tells me they are loosing it big time.

    I am afraid that the lukewarm people will not vote and the elections results will not reflect the will of the people...We as a society will reap what we have sewn if we as a society do not wake up and change seed.

    ReplyDelete

All points of view are welcome, but comments with excessive bad language and/or personal attacks will be deleted. Commenting on posts older than 5 days has been disabled.