Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Certainty

My wife has a friend of the liberal persuasion. This friend and her circle of like-minded acquaintances are certain that Obama will win in a landslide. They cannot conceive that anyone who is not a drooling red-necked gun-toting tea party radical would vote otherwise.


Earlier this season a pundit named Zombie wrote this:
The most important PJ Media post I made this season is “WE ARE THE 91%: Only 9% of Americans Cooperate with Pollsters.” That’s really all you need to know: Every single poll is a joke, because only 9% of people even cooperate with them. There is almost certainly a huge self-selection bias among the 91% who refuse to participate, meaning that as a group they most likely share some characteristics. And since this group of stubborn unknowns is literally ten times the size of the sample group from which laughable conclusions are being drawn, the potential for massive polling errors is extremely large. For all we know, either Obama or Romney could be up 70-30 or 80-20.
Michael Barone, George Will, and Dick Morris all predict (are certain of) a Romney landslide.

Glenn Reynolds:
Regardless of the outcome, it’s a certainty that we’ll have more fun over the next four years than Barack Obama will, and regardless of how the election grows, the Tea Party movement and the popular resistance to Big Government will continue to grow. You can pretty much take that one to the bank.
I think Romney will win and win big, but I am not certain of anything. If you have not voted - go vote. Make sure your friends vote. Go down to party headquarters and volunteer.

1 comment:

  1. Gene, regarding your first sentence in this post; I remember a time when you had at least one less degree of seperation...when you yourself had friends who were liberals. Long time ago.

    ReplyDelete

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